20/01/2026
The U.S. is losing its competitive advantage in scientific research.
This new working paper uses 44 million publications and shows a massive global shift:
-Since 1980, the U.S. share of scientific output has fallen from ~40% to 15%.
-In that time period, China has risen from near 0 to ~32% overall.
-This is also true in top-journal papers.
-This isn’t just more scientists; it's higher per-researcher productivity.
The U.S. still leads in biomedical science.
China now dominates engineering & physical sciences.
Bottom line: Global science is democratizing. U.S. scientific dominance is no longer guaranteed.