Economics for Health - EfH

Economics for Health - EfH We are a research team committed to supporting policies that strengthen public health & economic wellbeing around the world. PI: Jeffrey Drope

Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health.

Now available on Economics for Health - EfH... the 4๏ธโƒฃth   in   ๐ŸŒIn 2024,   ๐Ÿ‡ป๐Ÿ‡ณ received only 0.88 points out of 5 on its...
04/29/2026

Now available on Economics for Health - EfH... the 4๏ธโƒฃth in ๐ŸŒ

In 2024, ๐Ÿ‡ป๐Ÿ‡ณ received only 0.88 points out of 5 on its tax policies, with significant room for improvement in each component of the score.

Learn more about how Viet Nam compares to 170 countries & the policy recommendations from experts ๐Ÿ‘‡

https://www.economicsforhealth.org/uploads/scorecards/2024/Cigarette-Tax-Scorecard-4th-Edition_VN_v3-0.pdf

In   ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฉ, simplifying hand-rolled   tax structure & annual cigarette tax increases would raise tax revenue & improve publ...
04/23/2026

In ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฉ, simplifying hand-rolled tax structure & annual cigarette tax increases would raise tax revenue & improve public health ๐Ÿ“ˆ

From 2025 to 2027, CISDI estimates that this reform would:

- reduce cigarette consumption 16%,
- increase total tax revenues 26%, and
- decrease adult smoking prevalence 2%, averting >292,000 premature deaths.

Learn about the potential impact of 3๏ธโƒฃ tax scenarios compared to the status quo ๐Ÿ‘‡

https://www.economicsforhealth.org/research/raising-and-simplifying-the-cigarette-excise-tax-in-indonesia-simulated-revenue-gains-and-public-health-benefits/

A ๐Ÿ†• policy paper from KIPPRA examines trends in   production, consumption, employment, & revenues in   ๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ช The   find:๐Ÿ“Š B...
04/22/2026

A ๐Ÿ†• policy paper from KIPPRA examines trends in production, consumption, employment, & revenues in ๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ช

The find:

๐Ÿ“Š Beer & spirits make up the majority of alcohol consumption, with a recent shift towards spirits.
๐Ÿ”Ž The alcohol industry makes up only 0.20% of total employment.
๐Ÿ“‰ Total alcohol excise revenue slightly declined b/w 2016/17 & 2022/23.

Learn more about the opportunities for to strengthen tax policy & regulations ๐Ÿ‘‡

https://www.economicsforhealth.org/research/analysis-of-the-alcoholic-beverages-sector-in-kenya/

Between 2010 & 2024,  ******es remained very affordable in   ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฉ despite small, periodic  ***co tax increases ๐Ÿ”Ž   at CISD...
04/20/2026

Between 2010 & 2024, ******es remained very affordable in ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฉ despite small, periodic ***co tax increases ๐Ÿ”Ž

at CISDI find that reducing affordability by 10% would decrease demand by ~8๏ธโƒฃ%, including:

- 12% in low-income households and
- 6% in middle-income households.

Learn more about recommendations to significantly raise cigarette prices & effectively reduce consumption ๐Ÿ‘‡

https://www.economicsforhealth.org/research/cigarette-affordability-in-indonesia-recent-trends-and-elasticity

Effective policies across   can significantly reduce illicit  ***co trade, while governments continue to increase taxes ...
04/16/2026

Effective policies across can significantly reduce illicit ***co trade, while governments continue to increase taxes & raise additional revenue ๐ŸŒ

A ๐Ÿ†• brief from Smoke Free Partnership & Economics for Health - EfH highlights 2๏ธโƒฃ examples of success:

๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡ช In , the share of illicit consumption decreased from ~50% in 2019 to ~25% in 2022, and excise tax revenue increased from โ‚ฌ46.3 million to โ‚ฌ119.2 million b/w 2019 & 2024 ๐Ÿ“ˆ

๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฆ In , the share of illicit consumption decreased from ~32% in 2019 to ~8% in 2025, and excise tax revenue increased from โ‚ฌ443.4 million to โ‚ฌ583.4 million b/w 2019 & 2024 ๐Ÿ“ˆ

Learn more about the lessons learned & implications for the To***co Tax Directive ๐Ÿ‘‡

https://www.economicsforhealth.org/research/mitigating-illicit-trade-success-in-montenegro-and-bosnia-and-herzegovina/

In the   ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ, the compromise text of the  ***co Tax Directive would be much less effective than the European Commission p...
04/15/2026

In the ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ, the compromise text of the ***co Tax Directive would be much less effective than the European Commission proposal ๐Ÿ“‰

Under the compromise text, UPCT Universidad Politรฉcnica de Cartagena finds that:

- very few Member States would need to raise their minimum tax in 2028 & the required adjustment would be much smaller, and
- the minimum tax would not keep up with higher inflation rates.

Learn more about the weaknesses of the compromise text under Cypriot Presidency & recommendations for decision makers ๐Ÿ‘‡

https://www.economicsforhealth.org/research/the-eu-council-compromise-text-under-the-cypriot-presidency-lowers-both-the-real-value-and-the-binding-force-of-the-eu-tax-floor-policy-brief/

In   ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฐ,   & emerging  ****ne product sales are increasing, with the largest uptick in e-ci******es & e-liquid ๐Ÿ”Ž ๐Ÿ†•   fro...
04/08/2026

In ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฐ, & emerging ****ne product sales are increasing, with the largest uptick in e-ci******es & e-liquid ๐Ÿ”Ž

๐Ÿ†• from Ekonomickรฝ รบstav SAV finds that:

- consumers perceive e-ci******es, HTPs, & ****ne pouches as more attractive in Slovakia compared to the EU average, yet
- consumers support flavor bans & other regulations.

Among youth, use is also rising, with initiation from ages 13 to 16 & higher rates among girls than boys ๐Ÿ“Š

Learn more about these findings & recommendations for :

https://www.economicsforhealth.org/research/heated-to***co-products-and-emerging-ni****ne-product-use-in-slovakia/

Now live on Economics for Health - EfH... country-specific   outlining the findings from the 4๏ธโƒฃth edition of the   ๐Ÿ“š Ch...
03/27/2026

Now live on Economics for Health - EfH... country-specific outlining the findings from the 4๏ธโƒฃth edition of the ๐Ÿ“š

Check out the country profiles for 170+ countries & fact sheets for:

๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ฑ Albania
๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฆ Bosnia & Herzegovina
๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ท Brazil
๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ฌ Egypt
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฉ Indonesia
๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ด Jordan
๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡ช Montenegro
๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡ฐ North Macedonia
๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฐ Pakistan
๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡พ Paraguay
๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฐ Slovakia
๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ท Suriname

Stay tuned for more releases coming soon & reach out if you would like to request a fact sheet for your country ๐Ÿ”Ž

https://www.economicsforhealth.org/cigarette-tax-scorecard/

Earlier this month, 3๏ธโƒฃ Economics for Health - EfH team members participated in   ๐Ÿ“š The researchers presented ๐Ÿ†• evidence...
03/20/2026

Earlier this month, 3๏ธโƒฃ Economics for Health - EfH team members participated in ๐Ÿ“š

The researchers presented ๐Ÿ†• evidence on:

- the association between border length & illicit trade,
- online delivery sales laws and their effect on youth **ng, &
- the association between recreational retail rollout and substance use intensity.

Thank you to Society for Research on Ni****ne and To***co for the opportunity to share our findings with colleagues & learn about their endeavors!

Read more in our ๐Ÿ‘‡
https://www.economicsforhealth.org/blog/economics-for-health-presents-new-research-on-illicit-to***co-e-ci******es-and-cannabis-retail-at-srnt-2026/

An alternate  ***co tax system in   ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฉ would improve   & raise tax revenues in FY 2026-27 ๐Ÿ“ˆ Specifically, ๐Ÿ†•   estimates ...
03/19/2026

An alternate ***co tax system in ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฉ would improve & raise tax revenues in FY 2026-27 ๐Ÿ“ˆ

Specifically, ๐Ÿ†• estimates that this proposal would:

1๏ธโƒฃ. encourage nearly 0.5 million adults to quit smoking & prevent more than 372,000 youth from initiating use, saving over 371,700 lives in the long-term; &
2๏ธโƒฃ. generate more than BDT 85,000 crore in ***co tax revenue, BDT 44,000 crore more than the previous fiscal year.

Learn more from experts at Campaign for To***co-Free Kids, Vital Strategies, World Health Organization (WHO), & Economics for Health - EfH ๐Ÿ‘‡

https://www.economicsforhealth.org/research/raising-to***co-taxes-in-fy-2026-2027-protecting-health-and-financing-government-reform/

๐Ÿ†•   on the   ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ finds that the impact of the revised draft of the  ***coTaxDirective on   would be relatively small & te...
03/16/2026

๐Ÿ†• on the ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ finds that the impact of the revised draft of the ***coTaxDirective on would be relatively small & temporary ๐Ÿ”Ž

To***co accounts for only 2.3% of the consumption basket in the European Union. Relative to baseline , the TTD revision would:

1๏ธโƒฃ. Only increase inflation between 0.1 & 0.4 percentage points in most Member States in 2028, with no change in 5 Member States, and
2๏ธโƒฃ. Result in a cumulative effect of 0.3 percentage points from 2028 to 2030, decreasing each year, from 0.13 percentage points in 2028 to 0.08 percentage points in 2030.

Learn more in the from UPCT Universidad Politรฉcnica de Cartagena ๐Ÿ‘‡

https://www.economicsforhealth.org/research/the-to***co-tax-directive-reform-and-inflation-a-modest-and-temporary-effect/

๐Ÿ“ข The Economics for Health - EfH   in   is now live!We are also excited to release the   fact sheet ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฉ in Bahasa Indones...
03/12/2026

๐Ÿ“ข The Economics for Health - EfH in is now live!

We are also excited to release the fact sheet ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฉ in Bahasa Indonesia, which highlights opportunities for the country to improve its tax policies by:

- simplifying the complex tiered structure,
- regularly raising tax rates, &
- reducing cigarette affordability.

Read the translated ๐Ÿ‘‡
https://www.economicsforhealth.org/uploads/Cigarette%20Tax%20Scorecard%204th%20Edition_IND_v3-0.pdf
.. & ๐Ÿ‘‡
https://www.economicsforhealth.org/uploads/factsheet_indo%20(6).pdf

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