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10/24/2025
09/21/2025
08/15/2025
08/15/2025

A tropical low is approaching the South Texas Coast bringing increased tropical moisture. This will lead to increased rain chances and there's a flash flood risk along the coast today. A mounts will be around an inch - so beneficial rainfall - but where bands set up leading to training and where the core of the low moves inland, there could be localized substantial higher amounts of 3-5 inches - keep in mind these higher amounts will be isolated and are hard to pinpoint where they will occur. The highest likelihood of this is in Deep South Texas where there is a FLOOD WATCH today. If this tropical low develops into a tropical storm - which it’s running out of time to do so - it's possible the flood risk increases. A low-end flood risk will extend farther northwest into central Texas on Saturday. It's important to note that this will NOT be a repeat of Barry🌧️🌀

08/15/2025

The disturbance about an hour ago in the Gulf. (6pm CT). -{Long-wave IR on GOES satellite}. This might reach Tropical Depression organization before washing ashore Friday.

***NOTE: your “radar” won’t pick this up. Why?
We don’t have any physical radars in the Gulf!
Radar is level 2/3 data from physical CONUS nexrad sites, likely shown on your *app* as a mosaic presentation.
Also, that radar is searching for precipitation.

The southern Gulf doesn’t have a radar site sitting in the water. You must use Satellite data.
In this case, I’ve used the latest GOES data in IR, after sunset.

08/14/2025
08/14/2025

The NHC has upped the odds of formation on the Gulf disturbance to 40%. It will most likely move into northern Mexico or south Texas by late Friday. It will send moisture to Southeast Texas bringing a chance for scattered downpours on Friday and Saturday.

07/23/2025

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