06/02/2026
📊 [𝗧𝗘𝗡𝗭𝗜𝗡𝗚'𝗦 𝗠𝗔𝗥𝗞𝗘𝗧 𝗨𝗣𝗗𝗔𝗧𝗘 - 𝗝𝗔𝗡 𝟮𝟬𝟮𝟲]
Markets are off to a strong start in 2026, with steady growth, improving investor sentiment, and key shifts shaping the global landscape - from US policy impacts to India’s rising influence.
In this update, our Director, Craig McAvinue shares why it’s not just about chasing momentum, but staying grounded with smart, diversified strategies 🚀
Stock markets performance
2026 has started as 2025 finished with markets continuing to edge upwards.....
Jan 2026 Stock 💹
Currency performance
The US Dollar also trending in the same direction as last year….
Jan 2026 Currency 💵
Data from Google Finance
Market Resilience and the "Trump Effect"
Developed markets continue to enjoy steady month on month growth. As always the month end figures may not always tell the whole story, some volatility remains and we saw a somewhat V shaped pattern with some mid month falls in the S&P but a strong finish.
There appears to be somewhat of a settled feeling in markets. Inflation is under control and speculation around 2026 being a year to cut rates is helping investor confidence.
I can’t recall a time when one man had so much influence over the world stage. It seemed for a while that almost morning when I woke up to the news, invariably the main story mentioned Donald Trump. It’s ironic that a president who could hardly be described as calm, has (for now) had a calming effect on markets.
Jan 2026 Trump
Global Shifts: Policy Impacts and the Rise of India
His economic policies, striving for low interest rates in the US and a weaker dollar are having a positive effect. A weaker dollar benefits multinational companies who derive income from multiple currencies, thus boosting the reflected US dollar value. Inflation and employment are at near target levels. Like him or loathe him, most investors with S&P 500 ETFs are enjoying this period of growth.
The deal breaking, most notably around tariffs, has benefitted other markets. India in particular, which also saw some trade deals with the UK and Europe is a beneficiary. The most populous country in the world is becoming more and more of an important global player.
Jan 2026 India
Not only is India the largest democracy in the world, in terms of legible votes it is four times the size of second placed United States. They certainly cannot be ignored.
Historical Context and Strategies for Longevity
Of course this bull market run which started in 2022 cannot be attributed solely to Trump as it started well before his latest tenure in 2023. In terms of where we are historically, the three years of growth are still a way off the runs of 2009 – 2020, 1990 – 2000 and 1982 – 1987.
Jan 2026 Bear and Bull
Skeptics will point to the aforementioned crashes that ended these runs in 2000 and 1987, anticipating the next one. As always no one knows for sure. Sticking to tried and tested mandates such as owning good companies at a fair price, rather than fair companies at good prices still works. Profit taking and diversifying yourself with non market correlated assets is also an important strategy.
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