05/16/2025
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Is Trump a Russian asset?
Extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence, so lets unpack what we actually know as fact.
Trump has been visiting Russia since the 80s, bringing his Miss Universe pageant to Moscow in 2013, and has tried multiple times to build a Trump Tower in Moscow. Importantly, the efforts to build this tower continued well into the middle of the 2016 election.
Trump has also enjoyed some incredibly favourable financing over the years from Deutsche Bank, a company that has been involved in multiple money laundering scandals involving Russian oligarchs.
Because Trump has never fully released his tax returns or business records, we ultimately don't know if Trump owes any Russians money, or what kind of deals he's made. We are forced to speculate.
Now, here's something that isn't disputed: Russia interfered in the 2016 election to help get Trump elected.
This is the official view of the FBI, every intelligence agency in the country, and the bipartisan Senate Intelligence Committee.
The Kremlin influenced the election by conducting large scale social media influence operations using armies of fake accounts, and by funding and amplifying pro-Trump lobby groups.
They then hacked emails from the Democratic Party that they believed were damaging to Hilary Clinton.
The Russian Government then offered Trump "dirt" on Clinton, and had their representatives meet with Trump Jr, Jared Kushner, and Paul Manafort, at Trump Tower. We don't know what was discussed at this meeting.
Trump ally Roger Stone ended up working with the Russian Government and WikiLeaks to time the release of the emails to distract from Trump's Access Hollywood tape release. This is all recorded in court documents.
It's fairly obvious why Putin would favour Trump over Clinton, as Trump had praised him and advocated for an isolationist foreign policy that would favour Russia. But the unknown is whether Trump was in on it, or was just happy for the support.
The FBI ultimately stated that they could not establish if the Trump campaign conspired with the Russians but, importantly, made it clear that they did not exonerate him.
In fact, Mueller laid out ten potential instances of obstruction of justice, including Trump trying to fire Mueller and curtail the investigation. Mueller said: “If we had confidence that the president clearly did not commit a crime, we would have said so.”
But due to Department of Justice policy, Mueller could not charge a sitting president, and left the door open for Congress to take action... which they didn't.
So... what about the Steele Dossier?
Christopher Steele was a former British MI6 intelligence officer first hired by Trump's Republican opponents and then by the Clinton campaign to dig up dirt on Trump.
It's important to understand that this wasn't being presented by Steele as fact, he was sharing what he was hearing from his intelligence sources within Russia. So it's entirely possible it was intentional counter intelligence.
Some of the things Steele reported on have been proven to be inaccurate through travel records or sworn testimony from witnesses. But the most infamous rumour was that Putin held a video of Trump in an... embarrassing and unhygienic situation with some Russian women... and that he was using this to blackmail Trump and control him. Understandably, a rumour like that is difficult to fact check.
Since then, a former KGB Major has gone on the record claiming that Trump has been cultivated by the KGB as a Russian asset since 1987, code named "Krasnov". But no evidence has been produced to back these claims up.
Importantly, Trump being an "asset" doesn't mean he's a spy, it could just mean he's someone the KGB realised they could heavily influence.
What we do know is that Trump is remarkably subservient to Putin in a way he is to no other person on the planet.
He has demonstrated a ruthlessness towards anyone who challenges his image of superiority, even among his close colleagues and "friends". He has routinely and regularly thrown insults at world leaders like they're on the school playground... but never Putin... he's never once really even come close to criticising him despite obvious speculation about his subservience.
It's this behaviour that's caused what would otherwise be considered wild conspiracy theories to suddenly seem... plausible.
It is a remarkable coincidence that Trump's entire foreign policy agenda seems to perfectly align with Russia's geopolitical aspirations. From the weakening of NATO, the degradation of Western unity, and the undermining of liberal democratic values globally.
But there are other considerations.
Trump is a nationalist, he says so himself. He always has been. So is Putin.
It is possible that he genuinely admires Putin and simply wants to replicate his Oligarchy in the USA. He may also realise he owes a lot of his power to Putin, and doesn't want to lose that support.
This is all a very long way of saying... I don't know.
It sure would make sense, but we simply don't have enough evidence to make any assertions with the proof we would demand from our political adversaries.
Trump could dispell all the rumours today by standing up to Putin, just even once... but until that happens, we have to wait for the evidence to surface.
I just hope to live long enough to read the history book that reveals the full story.
