Econofact

EconoFact brings incisive analysis from leading researchers to the national debate on economic policy

01/31/2026

In the latest episode of EFChats, Nicholas Bloom (Stanford) discusses his recent research on the consequences of Brexit.

Nick Bloom on the consequences of Brexit, and what it can tell us about nations seeking to disengage from the global economy today.

01/30/2026

A move away from dollar dominance would erode the considerable economic, financial and geopolitical benefits that the US has gained from being the issuer of the world’s dominant currency.

Global investors typically flock to dollar-denominated assets when economic uncertainty spikes. That has not been the case lately.

01/29/2026

While its dominant position in global financial markets has meant that the United States has been able to run large deficits and sustain high and rising public debt with no evident signs of debt distress, this does not mean such spending is cost free.

Public debt in the United States is projected to rise faster and reach higher levels than in most other advanced economies.

01/28/2026

The importance of trade for Canada’s economy and the degree to which this depends on trade with the United States, mean that its economy is particularly vulnerable to U.S. tariff hikes and that its scope for effective unilateral retaliation is limited.

Canada’s economy is highly vulnerable to trade disruptions with the U.S., and has limited scope for enacting retaliatory tariffs.

01/27/2026

What impact can increased deportations have on labor markets, crime, and broader civic life?

Research on previous episodes of increased immigration enforcement sheds light on the impact deportations can have on labor markets, crime, and civic life.

01/22/2026

How might China's reliance on exports be both a blessing and a curse? In our latest memo, Michael Hirson and Houze Song explain.

Chinese dependence on manufacturing as an engine of growth has increased, as resistance to Chinese imports is growing abroad and domestic demand remains low.

01/21/2026

Why has the price of gold risen so sharply? Charles Collyns and Michael Klein explain:

Gold has a long history of being held as a financial asset by private investors and central banks, which can be the source of large shifts in its price.

01/17/2026

An aggregate trade deficit is not by itself evidence of economic weakness. In fact, there have been times when stronger GDP growth is associated with increasing trade deficits.

The U.S. has been running a trade deficit every year since 1975. However, both exports and imports have more than doubled since the beginning of this period.

01/16/2026

The trend towards increased legal independence for central banks has been met with near-unanimous approval among economists, as independence insulates the central bank from pressure to stimulate the economy for political gain, which eventually tends to increase inflation.

Legal independence for central banks has increased around the world. But it is not a one-way road. What conditions lead to an erosion of autonomy?

12/18/2025

A reform of the US's main source of residential flood insurance is changing the price of premiums, impacting take up and coverage. More in this memo by Francesc Ortega and Ivan Petkov

The US's main source of flood insurance has undergone the biggest reform since it inception. Will it help reduce Americans’ financial exposure to flooding?

12/17/2025

Mark Zandi joins EconoFact Chats to discuss the state of the economy, focusing on consumer sentiment, Fed Independence, and likely trends in inflation, unemployment, and GDP growth in early 2026.

Mark Zandi discusses the state of the economy, focusing on consumer sentiment, Fed Independence, and likely trends in inflation, unemployment, and GDP growth in early 2026.

12/16/2025

How can state-level policies reduce food insecurity?

State minimum wage and refundable state earned income tax credit (EITC) policies can reduce food insecurity among economically at-risk households with children.

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